By using this website, you agree to our use of cookies to enhance your experience.


Newborns face paying £500,000 for homes when they hit first-time buyer age

A baby born today will need to earn £95,121 to get on the property ladder, research suggests.

The analysis forecasts that the average first-time buyer house price will climb to more than £500,000 by the time a baby reaches the average first-time buyer age of 31.

Agency brand Lomond looked at the current average first-time buyer age across each region of Britain, before analysing historic house price data to forecast what the average house price could look like for a baby born today once they reach the current first-time buyer age.


Based on historic house price growth over the past 31 years, Lomond estimates that the average first-time buyer house price could hit a hefty £503,584 by 2055, an increase of 111.9% on the current average house price of £237,655 paid by first-time buyers today.

Should this forecast become a reality, the average baby born today would need a mortgage deposit of £75,538 at 15% of the property price, while needing to earn £95,121 to be eligible to borrow the required mortgage at 4.5 times income. 

The task would be most difficult in London, with the average first-time buyer age currently at 33 and the average first-time buyer house price forecast to hit almost £1m by 2057 - requiring a deposit of £144,630 and an income of £182,126 to get a first foot on the ladder. 

The South East (£647,344) and East of England (£628,882) are also forecast to see the average first-time buyer house price climb to some of the highest in the country. 

However, based on historic market trends, it’s the East Midlands that is forecast to see the highest increase of all regions. Lomond estimates that the region could see the average price of a first home climb by a huge 125.9% by 2055, with the West Midlands seeing the second highest rate of growth at 123.9% by 2056. 

Ed Phillips, chief executive of Lomond, said: “It seems quite unbelievable that a baby born today could face paying half a million pounds for their first home, but you would probably have thought the same thirty odd years ago had someone told you the price of property today. 

“What it certainly highlights is that Britain is home to one of the most robust and desirable property markets on the global stage and investing in property is almost always going to be a safe bet. 

“We do however need to see the issue of supply and the insufficient level of new homes being delivered addressed, if our children are to ever have a chance of realising their own ambitions of homeownership.”

The average first-time buyer deposit required for a baby born today purchasing in the future and the earnings they would need to be eligible for a mortgage at 4.5 times their income  
    Location FTB price - forecast 15% deposit Est mortgage loan required Income multiple x times of earnings Est earnings required  
    London £964,199 £144,630 £819,569 4.5 £182,126  
    South East £647,344 £97,102 £550,242 4.5 £122,276  
    East of England £628,882 £94,332 £534,550 4.5 £118,789  
    South West £556,394 £83,459 £472,935 4.5 £105,097  
    East Midlands £472,693 £70,904 £401,789 4.5 £89,286  
    West Midlands region £469,932 £70,490 £399,442 4.5 £88,765  
    North West £392,822 £58,923 £333,899 4.5 £74,200  
    Yorkshire and the Humber £365,166 £54,775 £310,391 4.5 £68,976  
    Scotland £311,351 £46,703 £264,648 4.5 £58,811  
    Wales £287,854 £43,178 £244,676 4.5 £54,372  
    North East £231,382 £34,707 £196,675 4.5 £43,705  
    Great Britain £503,584 £75,538 £428,046 4.5 £95,121

Please login to comment

MovePal MovePal MovePal
sign up